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Rigorous market commentary and macro analysis — free to read, always independent.

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The Architecture of Cycles Understanding Market Psychology from Peak to Trough
EquitiesUnited StatesJapanEducation

The Architecture of Cycles Understanding Market Psychology from Peak to Trough

The Wall Street Cheat Sheet has been circulating in trading offices for decades. At first glance, it looks like a cartoon — a wavy line, a collection of emotional labels, a smiley face at the top and a frowning face at the bottom. But beneath ...

20 Aug 2026
The Cultural Mood Ring Reading Fashion, Film, and Headlines Through Dow Theory
MacroChinaJapanUnited States

The Cultural Mood Ring Reading Fashion, Film, and Headlines Through Dow Theory

Charles Dow understood something that most quants still miss. The stock market is not a calculator. It is a mood ring. Price reflects the collective psychology of millions of human beings making decisions under uncertainty. And that psychology ...

7 June 2026
The Three-Year Race: USA, China, or Japan?
MacroUnited StatesChinaJapan

The Three-Year Race: USA, China, or Japan?

Japan Leads, China Waits, America Is Priced for Perfection Dear Client, The question arrives almost as often as the one about AI trading. "Where should I put my…

1 June 2026
The Beacon Five Ultimate
United StatesJapanChina

The Beacon Five Ultimate

A Complete Market Screening Report Welcome to the Bull Bear Bust Newsletter. We are the BBB Team. Every week, we screen the three major markets — the United Sta…

28 May 2026
Three Lights, Three Markets
MacroUnited StatesChinaJapan

Three Lights, Three Markets

Why We're Shorting US Chips, Watching China, and Buying Japan Dear Client, The time has come to talk honestly about the most important sector in the modern stoc…

8 May 2026
Japan's Turn
MacroJapan

Japan's Turn

Where We See Signs of a Bottom The Japanese market has been a frustrating story for years. Undervalued, overlooked, and perpetually waiting for a catalyst that…

5 May 2026
The Contrarian Opportunity in Our Own Backyard
MacroJapan

The Contrarian Opportunity in Our Own Backyard

May 2026 Market Report: Japanese Equities We have spent considerable time in recent reports discussing the risks in US equities and the selective opportunities…

4 May 2026
The Rising Sun
MacroJapan

The Rising Sun

How Japan’s Historic Transformation Is Reshaping the Nikkei 225 Just when many global investors had written off Japan as a deflationary relic, the world’s third…

16 Mar 2026