United StatesMacroEquitiesResearch
USA Strategy Report – Mid October 2026
Why This Is a Fragile Top, Not a YellowLight Bull Dear Client, This month's strategy report reassesses where the US market sits in the cycle. The S&P 500 remain…
25 Oct 2026
Markets & News
Newsletter Archive
Rigorous market commentary and macro analysis — free to read, always independent.
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MacroUnited States
US Private Credit Under Significant Stress
Redemption Gates and Hidden Data Center Debt Dear Client, The private credit landscape in the U.S. is showing significant stress, with two interwoven fault line…
4 Oct 2026
MacroUnited States
US Market Outlook Report
A Fragile Bull Regime Dear Client, Summary: The S&P 500 closed at 7,719.59 on 20261003, with a forward P/E of 19.4 — its lowest since April 2025 despite the ind…
3 Oct 2026
MacroChinaJapanUnited States
The Cultural Mood Ring Reading Fashion, Film, and Headlines Through Dow Theory
Charles Dow understood something that most quants still miss. The stock market is not a calculator. It is a mood ring. Price reflects the collective psychology of millions of human beings making decisions under uncertainty. And that psychology ...
7 June 2026
MacroEquitiesUnited States
The Two-Month Report Where We Stand After the Iran Shock
Two months ago, the world changed. American and Israeli forces launched airstrikes against Iran, and the comfortable market narrative of soft landings and immaculate disinflation evaporated overnight. We have now had enough time to see the patterns, measure the damage, and adjust our sails accordingly. This is ...
2 June 2026
MacroUnited StatesChinaJapan
The Three-Year Race: USA, China, or Japan?
Japan Leads, China Waits, America Is Priced for Perfection Dear Client, The question arrives almost as often as the one about AI trading. "Where should I put my…
1 June 2026
MacroEquities
Market Crash Triggers
The Next Six Months After forty years watching this market, I have rarely seen a confluence of danger signals quite like the one gathering on our horizon today.…
31 May 2026
MacroChina
The Long March Back
Risk Assessment & Market Roadmap: Chinese Equities We have spent considerable time in recent reports discussing the risks and opportunities in Western markets —…
27 May 2026
Macro
Risk Assessment & Market Roadmap
Reading the Weight of the Evidence Every month, we sit down with our proprietary dashboard of market indicators. We do not guess. We do not hope. We look at the…
26 May 2026
MacroUnited States
History Doesn't Bite — But It Does Whisper
What a Century of Fed Chair Transitions Tells Us About the Next One Dear Client, Markets are creatures of pattern. They sniff out the slightest shift in tone, t…
9 May 2026
MacroUnited StatesChinaJapan
Three Lights, Three Markets
Why We're Shorting US Chips, Watching China, and Buying Japan Dear Client, The time has come to talk honestly about the most important sector in the modern stoc…
8 May 2026
MacroJapan
Japan's Turn
Where We See Signs of a Bottom The Japanese market has been a frustrating story for years. Undervalued, overlooked, and perpetually waiting for a catalyst that…
5 May 2026