Newsletter Archive

Rigorous market commentary and macro analysis — free to read, always independent.

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USA Strategy Report – Mid October 2026
United StatesMacroEquitiesResearch

USA Strategy Report – Mid October 2026

Why This Is a Fragile Top, Not a YellowLight Bull Dear Client, This month's strategy report reassesses where the US market sits in the cycle. The S&P 500 remain…

25 Oct 2026
US Private Credit Under Significant Stress
MacroUnited States

US Private Credit Under Significant Stress

Redemption Gates and Hidden Data Center Debt Dear Client, The private credit landscape in the U.S. is showing significant stress, with two interwoven fault line…

4 Oct 2026
US Market Outlook Report
MacroUnited States

US Market Outlook Report

A Fragile Bull Regime Dear Client, Summary: The S&P 500 closed at 7,719.59 on 20261003, with a forward P/E of 19.4 — its lowest since April 2025 despite the ind…

3 Oct 2026
The Architecture of Cycles Understanding Market Psychology from Peak to Trough
EquitiesUnited StatesJapanEducation

The Architecture of Cycles Understanding Market Psychology from Peak to Trough

The Wall Street Cheat Sheet has been circulating in trading offices for decades. At first glance, it looks like a cartoon — a wavy line, a collection of emotional labels, a smiley face at the top and a frowning face at the bottom. But beneath ...

20 Aug 2026
The Cultural Mood Ring Reading Fashion, Film, and Headlines Through Dow Theory
MacroChinaJapanUnited States

The Cultural Mood Ring Reading Fashion, Film, and Headlines Through Dow Theory

Charles Dow understood something that most quants still miss. The stock market is not a calculator. It is a mood ring. Price reflects the collective psychology of millions of human beings making decisions under uncertainty. And that psychology ...

7 June 2026
The Two-Month Report Where We Stand After the Iran Shock
MacroEquitiesUnited States

The Two-Month Report Where We Stand After the Iran Shock

Two months ago, the world changed. American and Israeli forces launched airstrikes against Iran, and the comfortable market narrative of soft landings and immaculate disinflation evaporated overnight. We have now had enough time to see the patterns, measure the damage, and adjust our sails accordingly. This is ...

2 June 2026
The Three-Year Race: USA, China, or Japan?
MacroUnited StatesChinaJapan

The Three-Year Race: USA, China, or Japan?

Japan Leads, China Waits, America Is Priced for Perfection Dear Client, The question arrives almost as often as the one about AI trading. "Where should I put my…

1 June 2026
The Beacon Five Ultimate
United StatesJapanChina

The Beacon Five Ultimate

A Complete Market Screening Report Welcome to the Bull Bear Bust Newsletter. We are the BBB Team. Every week, we screen the three major markets — the United Sta…

28 May 2026
History Doesn't Bite — But It Does Whisper
MacroUnited States

History Doesn't Bite — But It Does Whisper

What a Century of Fed Chair Transitions Tells Us About the Next One Dear Client, Markets are creatures of pattern. They sniff out the slightest shift in tone, t…

9 May 2026
Three Lights, Three Markets
MacroUnited StatesChinaJapan

Three Lights, Three Markets

Why We're Shorting US Chips, Watching China, and Buying Japan Dear Client, The time has come to talk honestly about the most important sector in the modern stoc…

8 May 2026
The Complete Roadmap
MacroUnited States

The Complete Roadmap

How We Navigate the S&P 500 Through the Coming Storm and Into the Next Recovery If there is one thing decades of watching markets have taught us, it is this: th…

10 Apr 2026
Global Market Roadmap: The Next 12 Months
MacroEquitiesUnited States

Global Market Roadmap: The Next 12 Months

A Top Is Forming – The Crash Window Is August to November Dear Client, This month's Macro Memo sets out our roadmap for the next twelve months. We believe a mar…

13 Apr 2025